Post by alecs on Jun 21, 2023 8:58:37 GMT -8
Happy Wednesday, IFL Fans!
Welcome to Volume XIII of my "Wager Wednesday" bit, in which I examine the current landscape of the upcoming week's games, based on lines and odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. As an advocate of accountability, I will recap my results - whether genius or moronic - from the prior week as well. With that, let's see how my picks from last week turned out:
• BAY @ VGS – BAY -7.5 (The Panthers continued their dominant stretch with a convincing wire-to-wire victory over the Vegas Knight Hawks. As I had hinted at, Vegas could not get a defensive stand – unless you count their 3rd quarter onside kick recovery as a de-facto stop. Rather, it was the Panthers defense that came up with the stops throughout the game. Bay Area stays as the top seed in the Western Conference, taking the game 56-41.) $10.00 paid $19.09
• QC @ IOWA – QC -11.5 (Iowa’s coaching staff must have forced an exhaustive film study of their 73-43 Week 9 win over the Pirates, because… holy cow! The Barnstormers put together that same kind of “where the heck did that come from” performance and just obliterated a Quad City team that fell victim to the trap game. It all started with a fumbled kick return by Keyvan Rudd and never got any better from there. Leave it to Iowa, of all teams, to put up the season’s first 80-point showing, as they creamed Quad City 80-41.)
• SXF @ TUL – TUL +10.5 (The stretch of heartbreak for Oilers fans unfortunately continues on another week. There was a lot of good for Tulsa, such as their multiple defensive takeaways and stops, but also some pain points, such as Andre Sale’s three interceptions. In the end, the Oilers had control over their own fate, possessing the ball with a minute to go, needing just a field goal to win. And once again, they could not quite break through. They actually could have had an additional opportunity, but a defensive penalty was called against them on what would have been a 4th down stop with two seconds left. Sioux Falls prevailed with the 35-34 win, but Tulsa still covered despite failing to take home the beef jerky.) $10.00 paid $19.09
• FRI @ NAZ – NAZ +7 (The relatively close score of this game really doesn’t do justice to tell the story of how resolute Frisco’s defense was in this game. They constantly made life hard on Garrett Kettle and threw the Wrangler offense completely out of sync. The Wrangler defense played a reasonably solid game, holding Frisco under 40 points, but the Fighters essentially beat NAZ at their own game. A late touchdown and two-point conversion gave the Wranglers some hope, but an onside kick attempt failed, and Frisco collected the victory, 37-29. The Wranglers were just one point off from a potential backdoor cover, which would have settled this bet as at least a push.)
• SD @ TUC – SD +190 (Entering this week with the lowest over/under total of the six games, the Strike Force and Sugar Skulls engaged in a full-bore shootout. The Strike Force took the lead 33-27 in the first half, and spent the entire second half trading touchdown for touchdown with Ramone Atkins and his Tucson team. Like the Sioux Falls/Tulsa game earlier in the evening, the game’s outcome was decided by a roughing the passer call against Tucson - and an extremely questionable one at that - on a pivotal 3rd down play. San Diego keeps its playoff hopes, and my moneyline hit streak, alive with the 59-54 win.) $10.00 paid $29.00
• ARI @ DUKE – UNDER 104.5 (File this one under “Alec’s Contrarian Plays that ended up being smashing successes!” The exact game script I previewed ultimately came to reality, as Arizona’s defense bumrushed Duke City throughout the whole game. And once Charles McCullum’s injury forced Demry Croft to take quarterback snaps, the Gladiator offense crumbled. A late Gladiator touchdown on a fumbled kickoff return added a bit of spice to the ending but never genuinely put the outcome of this game – or this bet – in doubt. Arizona picked up their fifth consecutive win, dominating Duke City 57-34 in a game featuring 91 points.) $10.00 paid $19.09
Ba-da-bang!! That’s the kind of bounce-back week I’m talking about right there! We cashed in on four successful picks out of six on the Week 14 betslip, including the continuation of “Moneyline Magic” thanks to San Diego’s 59-54 road win over Tucson, which paid nearly triple the original stake at +190! And we nearly had a fifth win as well, with the Wranglers just one point short of the cover. Only Quad City/Iowa proved to be the unexpected surprise result of the week. A set of $10 bets on each of these would have returned $86.27, translating into a net gain of $26.27 for Week 14. Overall this season, I am 40-of-74 (40-34) with a total result of roughly $79.33 of net gain. Anyone who has followed/tailed my betting in these past nine weeks has seen convincingly positive returns, with a record of 34-24 and a net gain of $108.06 since Week 6!
Unfortunately, the Recommended Three-Leg Parlay of Week 14 went just two-of-three. It needed the Wranglers to beat Frisco, and NAZ couldn’t even cover a seven-point underdog spread in the 37-29 loss. The two successful legs were San Diego +6.5 spread and Arizona -11.5 spread. This was a pretty feisty series of picks, so losing the leg with the longest odds shouldn’t come as much of a surprise. We’ll tee it up and try it again this week, though.
YTD Breakdown of wagers by type:
Over/Under: 11-for-24
Spreads: 17-for-31
Moneyline: 12-for-19
Week 15 reverts to a full seven game with all 14 teams in action, the last such time that will happen until the final week of the regular season in Week 18. We’ve been yearning for that five-win week all season long; is this the week that goal finally gets achieved? Read on to find out!
*Odds and lines shown are at time of posting. They will be updated prior to kickoff if they change; however, any net gain/loss calculations will use the original values.
Friday 6/23: GB @ SXF (-4.5) | O/U 95.5 | Moneyline: GB +130, SXF -150
The pick: GB +130 Moneyline
The opening game of the week will play a heavy part in the race for the last Eastern Conference playoff spot, as both teams enter play at 6-5 and suddenly just a half-game behind third-place Quad City. It will be the third and final meeting of the season, and the first since going back-to-back in Weeks 5 and 6. Just like last week’s San Diego/Tucson series, the road team had emerged victorious in both prior Blizzard/Storm outings in April, and there’s ample reason to believe that Green Bay can keep that trend going, especially since they’re well rested after last week’s bye. It’s another game where the metrics indicate this is more of a 50-50 proposition than oddsmakers have portrayed it to be. That makes the visiting moneyline the most appealing option, and they might not be plus-odds if Ja’rome Johnson comes back from IR for the Blizzard. I’m locking this in now while the value is at it highest.
Saturday 6/24: TUL @ MASS (-12.5) | O/U 98.5 | No Moneyline Bets available as of posting
The pick: MASS -12.5 Spread
Massachusetts will host Tulsa in the home finale at the DCU Center before setting sail for their season-ending three game road trip. The Pirates are a perfect 6-0 straight up at home this season and 5-1 against the spread, with that single “loss” a 20-point win against Iowa where they were an absurd 21.5 point favorite. Tulsa, meanwhile, remains snakebitten in Year One, and now has seen Andre Sale regress heavily after an impressive debut a few weeks ago at San Diego. If the Pirates can force Sale into more of those mistakes, like the three interceptions he tossed against Sioux Falls last week, that will put Mass in fantastic shape. We’ll have to see if the Pirates can repeat their last defensive performance (28 points allowed versus Vegas), but the offense should be able to move the ball with authority like they have all season long. Look for the Pirates to send their fans out on a high note with a convincing win.
Saturday 6/24: IOWA @ QC (-4.5) | O/U 104.5 | Moneyline: IOWA +125, QC -145
The pick: QC -4.5 Spread
Neither team gets much time to digest last week’s seismic result in Des Moines, as the rematch is right around the corner just seven days later. The trick to finding a winning wager here is not to fall into the trap of recency bias. Quad City, simply put, is not going to lose by 39 points again, but suddenly have doubts surrounding them after losing three of their last four. What I will read into, though, is QB Daniel Smith, who has looked extremely promising in his two starts for the Barnstormers, both wins by the way. Iowa may have found something of worth that can re-invigorate its fanbase in the last three weeks of the season. He gives the Iowa offense a stable floor (and heightened ceiling) for the first time since Jonathan Bane was under center. Still, this numbers seems far too low for Quad City, so I will take full advantage of this overreaction and bank on the Steamwheelers righting the ship now that they are back at home.
Saturday 6/24: BAY @ FRI (-5.5) | O/U 108.5 | Moneyline: BAY +165, FRI -195
The pick: OVER 108.5
Bay Area has had no shortage of stiff competition this year, featuring Arizona twice, a road date with Massachusetts, and now this meeting against Frisco, which is the second head-to-head matchup of the season. A common theme of these games is Bay Area’s fearless approaching in trying to win games by the high-octane shootout fashion, an approach that successfully led them to a 62-55 victory in the first meeting against Frisco in Week 10. We’ve also seen scores of 59-52 (loss at Mass) and 70-63 (loss at Arizona) within that sample that have exceeded this number. It would take a herd of wild horses to get this game into the 130’s like the aforementioned Arizona contest, but both teams put together go for an average of over 106 points per game, so I like this number enough to justify going with the over for what is arguably my boldest single-game selection of the season. Grab your popcorn, and enjoy this treat of a game!
Saturday 6/24: VGS (-1.5) @ DUKE | O/U 91.5 | Moneyline: VGS -115, DUKE -105
The pick: VGS -1.5 Spread
I feel like almost every week nowadays, we’re talking about the need for fresh injury news when it comes to betting a Vegas Knight Hawks game. This time around, my focus shifts mainly towards the Duke City side of the equation. If Charles McCullum, who left last week’s game in the third quarter, winds up inactive for this one, the only other active QB on the roster at the moment is Demry Croft, who has shown the least upside of all IFL quarterbacks this season. At least for the Knight Hawks, we saw Da’Quan Neal return last week, and he had no apparent setbacks. This is an example where timing is everything, and unfortunately for Duke City, it does not appear to work out in their favor as it currently stands. In this de-facto elimination game, look for the Knight Hawks to soar over the shorthanded Gladiators, who figure to struggle whether Croft or banged-up McCullum is behind center.
Saturday 6/24: SD @ ARI (-13.5) | O/U 109.5 | No Moneyline Bets available as of posting
The pick: UNDER 109.5
San Diego got a season-saving win in Tucson last Saturday to bring them to within a game of the Wranglers for a playoff spot. Sadly for the Strike Force, they’re on the road against the hottest team in the IFL this week. Even without Braxton Haley, the Rattlers found key contributions last week from Jamal Miles and Isaiah Huston, showing their strong skill position depth. San Diego’s most likely path to sticking around in this game would require a near-perfect offensive outing. That remains a very reasonable possibility anytime Nate Davis is active, but the Rattlers have already shown they can contain him if the defense has a good day (48-37 win over Duke City in Week 5 when Davis was a member of the Gladiators). This is an exceedingly high threshold, regardless of which two teams are against each other, which offers us a significant level of wiggle room in case of quick scores. Arizona should win this while keeping San Diego at six touchdowns or fewer.
Saturday 6/24: TUC @ NAZ (-2.5) | O/U 78.5 | Moneyline: TUC +105, NAZ -125
The pick: TUC +105 Moneyline
At some point, we’re going to have to realize that the Wranglers defense, as elite as they’ve been, cannot mask the team’s offensive shortcomings forever (NAZ is last in the IFL with 37.4 points per game). Frisco made that clear as day last week by suffocating Garrett Kettle’s ability to rush the ball, and he ended up having a wildly inconsistent outing and eventually got benched for Nick Watson. The Sugar Skulls fourth ranked scoring defense will attempt to replicate that defensive gameplan to force the same result, and Tucson has the revenge factor on their side after dropping the first meeting at home 31-21 in Week 8. More than half of my model’s projections favor the Sugar Skulls to leave Prescott Valley with the win, so plus-odds (even at barely above even money) represents fantastic value, especially on a team that somehow has played better away than at home.
Recommended 3-leg parlay:
“Friday’s Pick” : Green Bay vs. Sioux Falls – Blizzard Moneyline (+130)
“Saturday’s 1st Pick” : Tucson vs. Northern Arizona – Sugar Skulls Moneyline (+105)
“Saturday’s 2nd Pick” : San Diego vs. Arizona – Rattlers -13.5 Spread (-110)
Parlay Odds +800 ($10.00 would win ~$80.01)
IFL Championship Winner Odds:
Green = Odds Increased from last week
Red = Odds Decreased from last week
Frisco Fighters +300
Arizona Rattlers +380
Massachusetts Pirates +475
Bay Area Panthers +500
Quad City Steamwheelers +700
Northern Arizona Wranglers +950
Sioux Falls Storm +1000
Tucson Sugar Skulls +1200
Green Bay Blizzard +2200
San Diego Strike Force +2500
Vegas Knight Hawks +2800
Duke City Gladiators +5000
Iowa Barnstormers +6500*
Tulsa Oilers +10000*
(*Tulsa and Iowa should technically be off the table, since they are now mathematically eliminated from playoff contention after Week 14)
Good luck to all you bettors out there! Let’s print out the big bucks!!
Welcome to Volume XIII of my "Wager Wednesday" bit, in which I examine the current landscape of the upcoming week's games, based on lines and odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. As an advocate of accountability, I will recap my results - whether genius or moronic - from the prior week as well. With that, let's see how my picks from last week turned out:
• BAY @ VGS – BAY -7.5 (The Panthers continued their dominant stretch with a convincing wire-to-wire victory over the Vegas Knight Hawks. As I had hinted at, Vegas could not get a defensive stand – unless you count their 3rd quarter onside kick recovery as a de-facto stop. Rather, it was the Panthers defense that came up with the stops throughout the game. Bay Area stays as the top seed in the Western Conference, taking the game 56-41.) $10.00 paid $19.09
• QC @ IOWA – QC -11.5 (Iowa’s coaching staff must have forced an exhaustive film study of their 73-43 Week 9 win over the Pirates, because… holy cow! The Barnstormers put together that same kind of “where the heck did that come from” performance and just obliterated a Quad City team that fell victim to the trap game. It all started with a fumbled kick return by Keyvan Rudd and never got any better from there. Leave it to Iowa, of all teams, to put up the season’s first 80-point showing, as they creamed Quad City 80-41.)
• SXF @ TUL – TUL +10.5 (The stretch of heartbreak for Oilers fans unfortunately continues on another week. There was a lot of good for Tulsa, such as their multiple defensive takeaways and stops, but also some pain points, such as Andre Sale’s three interceptions. In the end, the Oilers had control over their own fate, possessing the ball with a minute to go, needing just a field goal to win. And once again, they could not quite break through. They actually could have had an additional opportunity, but a defensive penalty was called against them on what would have been a 4th down stop with two seconds left. Sioux Falls prevailed with the 35-34 win, but Tulsa still covered despite failing to take home the beef jerky.) $10.00 paid $19.09
• FRI @ NAZ – NAZ +7 (The relatively close score of this game really doesn’t do justice to tell the story of how resolute Frisco’s defense was in this game. They constantly made life hard on Garrett Kettle and threw the Wrangler offense completely out of sync. The Wrangler defense played a reasonably solid game, holding Frisco under 40 points, but the Fighters essentially beat NAZ at their own game. A late touchdown and two-point conversion gave the Wranglers some hope, but an onside kick attempt failed, and Frisco collected the victory, 37-29. The Wranglers were just one point off from a potential backdoor cover, which would have settled this bet as at least a push.)
• SD @ TUC – SD +190 (Entering this week with the lowest over/under total of the six games, the Strike Force and Sugar Skulls engaged in a full-bore shootout. The Strike Force took the lead 33-27 in the first half, and spent the entire second half trading touchdown for touchdown with Ramone Atkins and his Tucson team. Like the Sioux Falls/Tulsa game earlier in the evening, the game’s outcome was decided by a roughing the passer call against Tucson - and an extremely questionable one at that - on a pivotal 3rd down play. San Diego keeps its playoff hopes, and my moneyline hit streak, alive with the 59-54 win.) $10.00 paid $29.00
• ARI @ DUKE – UNDER 104.5 (File this one under “Alec’s Contrarian Plays that ended up being smashing successes!” The exact game script I previewed ultimately came to reality, as Arizona’s defense bumrushed Duke City throughout the whole game. And once Charles McCullum’s injury forced Demry Croft to take quarterback snaps, the Gladiator offense crumbled. A late Gladiator touchdown on a fumbled kickoff return added a bit of spice to the ending but never genuinely put the outcome of this game – or this bet – in doubt. Arizona picked up their fifth consecutive win, dominating Duke City 57-34 in a game featuring 91 points.) $10.00 paid $19.09
Ba-da-bang!! That’s the kind of bounce-back week I’m talking about right there! We cashed in on four successful picks out of six on the Week 14 betslip, including the continuation of “Moneyline Magic” thanks to San Diego’s 59-54 road win over Tucson, which paid nearly triple the original stake at +190! And we nearly had a fifth win as well, with the Wranglers just one point short of the cover. Only Quad City/Iowa proved to be the unexpected surprise result of the week. A set of $10 bets on each of these would have returned $86.27, translating into a net gain of $26.27 for Week 14. Overall this season, I am 40-of-74 (40-34) with a total result of roughly $79.33 of net gain. Anyone who has followed/tailed my betting in these past nine weeks has seen convincingly positive returns, with a record of 34-24 and a net gain of $108.06 since Week 6!
Unfortunately, the Recommended Three-Leg Parlay of Week 14 went just two-of-three. It needed the Wranglers to beat Frisco, and NAZ couldn’t even cover a seven-point underdog spread in the 37-29 loss. The two successful legs were San Diego +6.5 spread and Arizona -11.5 spread. This was a pretty feisty series of picks, so losing the leg with the longest odds shouldn’t come as much of a surprise. We’ll tee it up and try it again this week, though.
YTD Breakdown of wagers by type:
Over/Under: 11-for-24
Spreads: 17-for-31
Moneyline: 12-for-19
Week 15 reverts to a full seven game with all 14 teams in action, the last such time that will happen until the final week of the regular season in Week 18. We’ve been yearning for that five-win week all season long; is this the week that goal finally gets achieved? Read on to find out!
*Odds and lines shown are at time of posting. They will be updated prior to kickoff if they change; however, any net gain/loss calculations will use the original values.
Friday 6/23: GB @ SXF (-4.5) | O/U 95.5 | Moneyline: GB +130, SXF -150
The pick: GB +130 Moneyline
The opening game of the week will play a heavy part in the race for the last Eastern Conference playoff spot, as both teams enter play at 6-5 and suddenly just a half-game behind third-place Quad City. It will be the third and final meeting of the season, and the first since going back-to-back in Weeks 5 and 6. Just like last week’s San Diego/Tucson series, the road team had emerged victorious in both prior Blizzard/Storm outings in April, and there’s ample reason to believe that Green Bay can keep that trend going, especially since they’re well rested after last week’s bye. It’s another game where the metrics indicate this is more of a 50-50 proposition than oddsmakers have portrayed it to be. That makes the visiting moneyline the most appealing option, and they might not be plus-odds if Ja’rome Johnson comes back from IR for the Blizzard. I’m locking this in now while the value is at it highest.
Saturday 6/24: TUL @ MASS (-12.5) | O/U 98.5 | No Moneyline Bets available as of posting
The pick: MASS -12.5 Spread
Massachusetts will host Tulsa in the home finale at the DCU Center before setting sail for their season-ending three game road trip. The Pirates are a perfect 6-0 straight up at home this season and 5-1 against the spread, with that single “loss” a 20-point win against Iowa where they were an absurd 21.5 point favorite. Tulsa, meanwhile, remains snakebitten in Year One, and now has seen Andre Sale regress heavily after an impressive debut a few weeks ago at San Diego. If the Pirates can force Sale into more of those mistakes, like the three interceptions he tossed against Sioux Falls last week, that will put Mass in fantastic shape. We’ll have to see if the Pirates can repeat their last defensive performance (28 points allowed versus Vegas), but the offense should be able to move the ball with authority like they have all season long. Look for the Pirates to send their fans out on a high note with a convincing win.
Saturday 6/24: IOWA @ QC (-4.5) | O/U 104.5 | Moneyline: IOWA +125, QC -145
The pick: QC -4.5 Spread
Neither team gets much time to digest last week’s seismic result in Des Moines, as the rematch is right around the corner just seven days later. The trick to finding a winning wager here is not to fall into the trap of recency bias. Quad City, simply put, is not going to lose by 39 points again, but suddenly have doubts surrounding them after losing three of their last four. What I will read into, though, is QB Daniel Smith, who has looked extremely promising in his two starts for the Barnstormers, both wins by the way. Iowa may have found something of worth that can re-invigorate its fanbase in the last three weeks of the season. He gives the Iowa offense a stable floor (and heightened ceiling) for the first time since Jonathan Bane was under center. Still, this numbers seems far too low for Quad City, so I will take full advantage of this overreaction and bank on the Steamwheelers righting the ship now that they are back at home.
Saturday 6/24: BAY @ FRI (-5.5) | O/U 108.5 | Moneyline: BAY +165, FRI -195
The pick: OVER 108.5
Bay Area has had no shortage of stiff competition this year, featuring Arizona twice, a road date with Massachusetts, and now this meeting against Frisco, which is the second head-to-head matchup of the season. A common theme of these games is Bay Area’s fearless approaching in trying to win games by the high-octane shootout fashion, an approach that successfully led them to a 62-55 victory in the first meeting against Frisco in Week 10. We’ve also seen scores of 59-52 (loss at Mass) and 70-63 (loss at Arizona) within that sample that have exceeded this number. It would take a herd of wild horses to get this game into the 130’s like the aforementioned Arizona contest, but both teams put together go for an average of over 106 points per game, so I like this number enough to justify going with the over for what is arguably my boldest single-game selection of the season. Grab your popcorn, and enjoy this treat of a game!
Saturday 6/24: VGS (-1.5) @ DUKE | O/U 91.5 | Moneyline: VGS -115, DUKE -105
The pick: VGS -1.5 Spread
I feel like almost every week nowadays, we’re talking about the need for fresh injury news when it comes to betting a Vegas Knight Hawks game. This time around, my focus shifts mainly towards the Duke City side of the equation. If Charles McCullum, who left last week’s game in the third quarter, winds up inactive for this one, the only other active QB on the roster at the moment is Demry Croft, who has shown the least upside of all IFL quarterbacks this season. At least for the Knight Hawks, we saw Da’Quan Neal return last week, and he had no apparent setbacks. This is an example where timing is everything, and unfortunately for Duke City, it does not appear to work out in their favor as it currently stands. In this de-facto elimination game, look for the Knight Hawks to soar over the shorthanded Gladiators, who figure to struggle whether Croft or banged-up McCullum is behind center.
Saturday 6/24: SD @ ARI (-13.5) | O/U 109.5 | No Moneyline Bets available as of posting
The pick: UNDER 109.5
San Diego got a season-saving win in Tucson last Saturday to bring them to within a game of the Wranglers for a playoff spot. Sadly for the Strike Force, they’re on the road against the hottest team in the IFL this week. Even without Braxton Haley, the Rattlers found key contributions last week from Jamal Miles and Isaiah Huston, showing their strong skill position depth. San Diego’s most likely path to sticking around in this game would require a near-perfect offensive outing. That remains a very reasonable possibility anytime Nate Davis is active, but the Rattlers have already shown they can contain him if the defense has a good day (48-37 win over Duke City in Week 5 when Davis was a member of the Gladiators). This is an exceedingly high threshold, regardless of which two teams are against each other, which offers us a significant level of wiggle room in case of quick scores. Arizona should win this while keeping San Diego at six touchdowns or fewer.
Saturday 6/24: TUC @ NAZ (-2.5) | O/U 78.5 | Moneyline: TUC +105, NAZ -125
The pick: TUC +105 Moneyline
At some point, we’re going to have to realize that the Wranglers defense, as elite as they’ve been, cannot mask the team’s offensive shortcomings forever (NAZ is last in the IFL with 37.4 points per game). Frisco made that clear as day last week by suffocating Garrett Kettle’s ability to rush the ball, and he ended up having a wildly inconsistent outing and eventually got benched for Nick Watson. The Sugar Skulls fourth ranked scoring defense will attempt to replicate that defensive gameplan to force the same result, and Tucson has the revenge factor on their side after dropping the first meeting at home 31-21 in Week 8. More than half of my model’s projections favor the Sugar Skulls to leave Prescott Valley with the win, so plus-odds (even at barely above even money) represents fantastic value, especially on a team that somehow has played better away than at home.
Recommended 3-leg parlay:
“Friday’s Pick” : Green Bay vs. Sioux Falls – Blizzard Moneyline (+130)
“Saturday’s 1st Pick” : Tucson vs. Northern Arizona – Sugar Skulls Moneyline (+105)
“Saturday’s 2nd Pick” : San Diego vs. Arizona – Rattlers -13.5 Spread (-110)
Parlay Odds +800 ($10.00 would win ~$80.01)
IFL Championship Winner Odds:
Green = Odds Increased from last week
Red = Odds Decreased from last week
Frisco Fighters +300
Arizona Rattlers +380
Massachusetts Pirates +475
Bay Area Panthers +500
Quad City Steamwheelers +700
Northern Arizona Wranglers +950
Sioux Falls Storm +1000
Tucson Sugar Skulls +1200
Green Bay Blizzard +2200
San Diego Strike Force +2500
Vegas Knight Hawks +2800
Duke City Gladiators +5000
Iowa Barnstormers +6500*
Tulsa Oilers +10000*
(*Tulsa and Iowa should technically be off the table, since they are now mathematically eliminated from playoff contention after Week 14)
Good luck to all you bettors out there! Let’s print out the big bucks!!